Jen Hartmann Gruppe

Given the support of China, North Korea, Iran, and many other countries that are helping Moscow circumvent sanctions, Ukraine alone will not win this war. However, we do not see much enthusiasm from our allies and partners. From Washington it is constantly heard that the money in support of Ukraine is running out, and the new aid package for 2024 Congress does not vote. The New York Times also recently added "zrads": The White House and the Pentagon have already warned Kiev that the US will soon be unable to transfer enough missiles to Ukraine for the Patriot system, the cost of which is $2-4 million per unit. But the ammunition on the front is already a problem. According to the British Royal Institute of Joint Services (RUSI), Russia produces 10 thousand shells per day - five times more than Ukraine

Aid will decrease: Ukraine is no longer a priority for the US

From January 4 to January 11, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken is in Turkey, Egypt, Greece, Jordan, Qatar, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and, of course, Israel. The goal is to prevent the outbreak of the Great War in the region, which, according to numerous American media reports, could significantly damage Joe Biden’s campaign and ratings. Although without it, it is already significantly inferior to Donald Trump.

But the priority is clear. Otherwise we would have seen Blinken in Ukraine. Yes, he was visiting Kiev in September 2023. But the situation for the Ukrainian Defense Forces and Ukrainian society, which are increasingly despairing Western support, is much worse. Politico writes that Washington has a conditional "plan B" if a great war in the region in which the US might be involved breaks out. Yes, and Joe Biden said…

This is a significant increase in Russia’s missile reserves, trying to deplete Ukrainian air defense. As you know, we are very dependent on Western deliveries of missiles and ammunition to air defense systems. And not only to them. And our allies, due to their internal political divisions, cannot agree on aid packages for Ukraine this year. And this is at a time when the British The Telegraph with reference to representatives of local units of Ukrainian intelligence reports that already on January 15 Russian troops may launch an offensive near Kharkov. Although the Kharkiv military administration and the Armed Forces denied this, stating that there is no concentration of Russian troops on the border.

What about Western military and financial assistance? When will there be weapons and money, will there be any? Will we not be left alone with Russia, assisted by China, Iran, Belarus and North Korea, and not…

While Western partners are holding on to self-restraint in providing us long-range missiles, because they believe that this could provoke Putin into a mythical escalation, Russia is already attacking Ukraine with North Korean ballistic missiles. First, The Wall Street Journal reported that shipments from North Korea have already started, adding that Moscow is also close to purchasing Iranian short-range ballistic missiles, which may happen this spring. And then White House Security Council Strategic Communications Coordinator John Kirby added: On December 30 and January 2, during the attacks on Ukraine, Russia had already used North Korean ballistic missiles.

Therefore, on January 10, the US convenes the UN Security Council and promises additional sanctions. A little later, due to the massive Russian drones and missile attacks at the request of Kiev, the Ukrainian-NATO Council will also meet. Although at the same time the US and Germany were finally to hand over to…